Four ways to draw a pattern
Assumes Which vertices are the random ones and Almost every pattern fails.
Which vertices are the random ones put a question to a single vertex: every measurement of the form over 373 random degree-four vertices is a statement about a population nobody declared, four defensible populations disagree by factors, and the disagreement reached a sentence this collection had published as though it were general.
The same question can be put to a crease pattern, and there it is worse in a way that is easy to state. A vertex is a list of angles. A pattern is a list of angles and a shape — how many vertices, how they are joined, where the sheet’s edge falls — so there is one more thing for a construction to decide and nothing that decides it.
There is no way to pick a crease pattern at random. What there is, is constructions.
The four, each written down on purpose
The printed shelf. The eight patterns this collection prints and a reader can fold: a preliminary base, a Miura, two twists, a Yoshimura, a fold-and-cut triangle, a tapered corrugation, a waterbomb tessellation. It is a list somebody assembled, and it is the population closest to a reader’s own paper.
Twist tessellations. One construction run over four tilings at three turn angles. Every member has degree-four vertices in a lattice and a central polygon per tiling vertex, and the family is generated by a rule rather than chosen.
Quadrilateral meshes. Developable grids with no two vertices alike, built so that every vertex is Kawasaki-exact by construction, and solved so that every loop closes. These are the patterns the rigid-folding half of this collection is written about.
Fold-and-cut patterns. The straight skeleton of an outline, with one interior vertex per skeleton node and a great many creases running out to the paper’s edge.
They are not four samples of one thing, and the check that they are not comes before any comparison: no two of them produce patterns that agree in interior-vertex count and pile depth together, so the four populations are disjoint by the measurements themselves rather than by assertion.
What each construction is good for, which is why they differ
The four are not arbitrary and each exists because somebody needed it, which is the reason they disagree.
The shelf exists so a reader can fold something. Its selection criterion is that the folding teaches what the picture cannot, which favours patterns that do something dramatic — collapse to a thirtieth of the sheet, turn a square into a tube, rotate a polygon nobody pushed.
Twist tessellations exist because a construction generates them. Hand it a tiling and it returns a pattern that folds flat, with the twist polygons’ shapes forced by the tiling’s own angles — so the population is as large as the supply of tilings and every member is structurally like every other.
Quadrilateral meshes exist because rigid folding needs them. A mesh is the object whose closure conditions can be written down and solved, and the population is what a solver reaches rather than what a folder would draw.
Fold-and-cut patterns exist because a theorem produces them. Any straight-line drawing can be folded flat so that one cut releases it, and the construction that does it makes patterns whose creases nearly all end on the sheet’s boundary.
So the four populations are four purposes, and the properties they differ on are properties correlated with those purposes. A reader who wants to know what a crease pattern is like has to say which purpose they mean. That is a sharper requirement than it sounds: a pattern that folds flat and a pattern that folds rigidly are drawn from populations that barely overlap, and a sentence about one is rarely a sentence about the other.
What they disagree about
Four questions, each measured by machinery written for something else.
| shelf | twists | meshes | fold-and-cut | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| patterns in the population | 8 | 12 | 6 | 5 |
| share of vertices on the paper’s edge | 62% | 52% | 67% | 86% |
| layers at the deepest point | 19.4 | 10.0 | 8.7 | 9.8 |
| times smaller, folded | 15.5× | 2.7× | 4.8× | 1.3× |
| crease length per unit of paper | 7.9 | 12.9 | 5.2 | 2.2 |
The spread between the extremes: 12.4 times on how much a pattern shrinks, 5.9 on how much creasing it costs, 2.2 on the deepest pile, 1.7 on how much of the pattern is edge.
Those are not margins. A reader given the first column and a reader given the fourth have been told different things about what a crease pattern is.
The population this collection has always used is the extreme one
That is the uncomfortable half, and it is the same shape as the finding one rung down.
Almost every general statement here about how much a folded pattern shrinks, how deep its stack goes and what it costs in creasing has been made over the printed shelf — because those are the patterns that exist as objects, get folded, and have their numbers reported. The shelf is the highest of the four on shrink by a factor of three and the highest on pile depth by a factor of two.
It is high for a reason nobody chose deliberately and everybody would recognise: patterns get printed here when folding them teaches something, and a pattern that collapses dramatically teaches more than one that barely moves. The shelf is a curated population, curated for exactly the property it then gets measured on.
And one column runs the other way
The fold-and-cut population is the lowest on three of the four measures and the highest on the fourth: 86 per cent of its vertices are on the edge of the paper, against 52 per cent for twist tessellations.
That is structural rather than incidental. A fold-and-cut pattern is a straight skeleton plus the perpendiculars from every skeleton node to the outline, and a perpendicular is a crease that runs from an interior vertex to the paper’s edge by construction. So the population is mostly boundary because the construction makes creases that end at the boundary.
It matters because no vertex theorem applies at the paper’s edge, and because the outline of a folded object is mostly crease rather than raw edge — two facts about boundaries that a population of 86 per cent boundary vertices makes load-bearing. A population that is 86 per cent boundary is a population in which the conditions this whole subject is built on are evaluated at one vertex in seven — so a statement of the form every vertex of these patterns satisfies Kawasaki means something quite different there from what it means on a tessellation.
The sentence this one reaches
The rung below found a published sentence its measurement contradicted, and honesty requires the same treatment here.
Almost every crease pattern fails to fold flat is a sentence of exactly the kind this essay is about. It is measured over patterns drawn at random and it is correct there — a pattern whose creases are drawn without regard to the conditions fails at its first vertex. What the sentence does not say, and what a reader takes from it, is that valid patterns are rare among the patterns anybody would draw.
Measured over the four constructions above, every pattern in every population satisfies every condition at every interior vertex, because each construction was built to produce patterns that do. The rarity is a property of the drawing-at-random population and of nothing else, and the populations a designer, a tessellator or an engineer works in are populations of valid patterns exclusively.
Both statements are true and they are about different sets. The general one — almost every pattern fails — is the one this collection has repeated, and it is the one about the population nobody works in.
Which theorem was checked, and how
Every population is exhausted, not sampled. Each construction is run to completion — every tiling, every angle, every seed, every outline — and every row reports how many patterns it is over. A construction that produced four patterns says four.
The populations are checked to be disjoint — no two of them produce patterns agreeing in both interior-vertex count and pile depth — before anything is compared, on the measurements themselves rather than on how they were built.
Every quantity is measured by code written for another purpose. The boundary share comes from the machinery that decides a vertex at the paper’s edge, the pile from the layer map, the shrink from the folded panels, and the crease density from the pattern’s own coordinates. None of them was written for this comparison, which is what makes the comparison a comparison.
A pattern too large to answer a question leaves the column empty rather than being guessed at, and the count of patterns each average is over is reported beside it — a column that quietly averages over whichever patterns happened to be small is a column about size.
Where the model stops
Four constructions is four. A fifth — patterns taken from published designs — would be different again and is the one a reader might most want; assembling it means reading crease patterns out of other people’s work, which this collection does not do.
Nothing here is a claim about sampling. There is no estimator, no error bar, no confidence statement and no distributional assumption anywhere in it. Every number is an exhaustive count over a stated finite population, and the argument is a comparison between populations that were each written down on purpose.
The averages hide their own spreads. Twelve twist tessellations at three turn angles differ among themselves — the shrink runs from 1.4 to 5.0 within that column alone — so a between-population ratio of twelve is not twelve times the within-population variation, and no attempt is made here to separate the two.
And no population is the right one. There is no such thing. What there is, is a requirement to say which one a number came from — the same conclusion the vertex version of this question reached, arrived at independently on objects one dimension larger.
Whether the gaps are larger than the spreads
The comparison is worth nothing unless the differences between populations are larger than the differences inside them, and that is checkable from the numbers already reported rather than needing a variance decomposition nobody would trust on twelve patterns.
Take the column where the populations disagree most. The shrink runs from 1.3 for fold-and-cut patterns to 15.5 for the shelf, a factor of twelve. Within the twist population alone it runs from 1.4 to 5.0, a factor of three and a half.
Those are not the same kind of number — one is a ratio between means, the other a range over individuals — so the useful comparison is the direct one. The shelf’s mean of 15.5 lies outside the twists’ entire observed range, three times above its top. It is not that the two populations have different averages with overlapping spreads; the least dramatic pattern the shelf could contain and still average 15.5 is well above the most dramatic twist tessellation the construction produced at any of its settings.
That is the shape the argument needs. Two of the four columns could be reconciled by saying the same thing about different individuals; this pair cannot, and the disagreement is between the populations rather than inside them.
The same reading does not hold everywhere and the table says so. Boundary share runs from 52 to 86 per cent, a factor of 1.7, and no within-population range is reported for it — so on that question the honest position is that the populations differ and by how much relative to their own spreads is not established here.
The population nobody measured
The fifth population — patterns taken from published designs — is named and set aside, and something can be said about where it would fall without reading a single one of them.
A published complex design is box-pleated, which fixes three of the four columns before any measurement. Its creases run along a grid and its diagonals, so every one of its interior vertices carries at least one pair of equal sectors — a forty-five degree grid admits no vertex free of them at any degree. Its crease density is very high, because the whole discipline exists to put hundreds of folds on one sheet. And its boundary share is low, because a design that uses its paper has most of its vertices in the middle of the sheet rather than at the rim.
Put those together and the fifth population is predictably the extreme one on the axis that decides what a pattern costs to check. The four measured here are extreme on shrink, on crease density and on boundary share in various directions, and none of them is systematically loaded with coincident sectors: a solved quadrilateral mesh has no two vertices alike by construction, and a mesh built that way has no ties at all.
So the population a reader most wants a number for is the one furthest from every population a number exists for, and it is furthest in exactly the direction that makes a general statement about difficulty go wrong. That is worth stating as a warning rather than as a result, because it is an inference from two constructions rather than a measurement of a third — and it is the strongest reason to assemble the fifth population that this essay can offer.
What the picture cannot show
A table of four rows cannot show that the rows are measurements of different objects rather than different measurements of one. That is exactly the reading it invites, and it is the wrong one — there is nothing the four are estimates of.
Nor can any figure show a population. Each row stands for five to twelve patterns and the figure has room for none of them, so the object being compared is invisible in every figure of this essay. That is unavoidable, and it is why the constructions are described in words.
The idealisation, named
Every pattern in every population is zero-thickness, unstretchable and creased along lines. The measurements are therefore about patterns as drawn, which is the right object for a comparison of constructions and is not the object a folder holds.
One consequence is worth naming because it affects a column. The shrink is measured at the fully folded state, which requires the paper to close completely; a real Yoshimura at sixty layers does not, so the 60× shrink is an upper bound that the shelf’s own patterns approach and do not reach.
The generalisation
A measurement over instances is a measurement over the process that produced the instances, and when the instances are structured objects the process has more to decide than a sampler of numbers does.
The version of that worth carrying is about how a subject accumulates its general statements. Nobody in this collection ever decided that its sentences about crease patterns would be sentences about eight printed ones. The patterns got printed for good reasons, the numbers got measured because the patterns were there, and the sentences got written in the ordinary way — and the population arrived by accretion rather than by choice, which is how most populations arrive.
The second half is the practical one. A curated population is curated for something, and the something is usually correlated with what will be measured on it. The shelf here was assembled for pedagogical value and is extreme on shrink; a library of test cases assembled for difficulty will be extreme on difficulty; a benchmark assembled from published examples will be extreme on whatever gets published. None of those is a mistake in the curation, and each of them is a reason to say which population a number came from.
Where the ladder goes next
Two rungs follow directly.
The first is the one this rung makes possible: going back through the general sentences in this collection and marking which population each came from — starting with the ones about how much a corrugation costs and how deep a folded stack goes, both of which are measured over the shelf. That is bookkeeping rather than discovery, and it is the kind of bookkeeping that changes what a reader can trust.
The second is the question of cost, which is the other thing a population decides. If four ways of producing a pattern disagree by factors about what a pattern is like, they will disagree about what deciding one costs — and where that disagreement comes from turns out to be a single feature of the instances rather than their size.
What this makes readable
Essays that name this one as a prerequisite.
Named alongside this one
Essays reaching for the same objects. Nobody chose these; they are what the concept index makes visible.
- A population nobody chose measurement · tessellation · typical instances
- The shortest crease is not a crease boundary vertex · measurement · tessellation
- A patch on a knife edge boundary vertex · tessellation
- A sheet with no edge boundary vertex · tessellation
- Four populations with nothing to separate measurement · typical instances
- The crease the drawing cannot show boundary vertex · tessellation
What links here
The 8 essays that link to this one and share the most of its objects, of 11 that link here.
The objects this essay names
Each one links to every other essay that touches it.
Boundary vertexThe fold-and-cut theoremMeasurementQuadrilateral meshTessellationTypical instances