Primary source — where it appears
Named by 9 essays across one field — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.
Nothing here is as old as it sounds
Paper folding is described everywhere as an ancient art. The oldest surviving book of it was printed in 1797, the oldest reference to folding for amusement is from 1680, and the median claim in this subject is dated two centuries before anything that attests it.
A record is not a proof
Every other claim here can be re-derived from the figure that makes it, and a wrong one shows. A date cannot: it is checked once, by hand, against a record that is itself a survivor. This field is the one most likely to be wrong and least likely to be caught, and saying so is the only defence it has.
A file has no paper
The field's interchange format is three arrays — where the vertices are, which pairs of them an edge joins, and a letter for each edge — and that is exactly the object every computation on a crease pattern starts from. A list of edges cannot say that two of them must not cross, because crossing is a property of the drawing and the list has no drawing in it. So a pattern that no paper could carry is a perfectly well-formed file, and four of this collection's own were.
A test imported without its hypothesis
The rule that a loop in a folded sheet's layer relations proves the pattern cannot fold arrives from the layer-ordering literature, where the sheet is a disc and the panels are finitely many. This collection took the rule and not the sentence that says which sheets it is about, then applied it for years to patterns whose whole interest is that they repeat.
When two of them are first attested together
Every single date in this field is argued about by centuries, and a pairwise one is not. The earliest year at which two claims are both attested is simply the later of their two surviving sources, so it inherits the better-attested half of each pair rather than the worse — and the year at which all five lineages of practice are jointly on the record is 1838, one year from where the same claims are popularly dated together.
One lost source and the story changes
Five of the record's fifteen claims rest on exactly one surviving document. Take those away and the field's most-quoted statistic — how far ahead of its evidence a popular date runs — falls from three hundred and fifty-seven years to a hundred and ninety-three, while the median hardly moves at all. The effect is not a tendency spread through the record; it is two documents, and both of them are single-witness.
The interval is wider than the number
The field's most-quoted statistic — how far ahead of its evidence a popular date runs — is the mean of eight positive gaps, and it is quoted as three hundred and fifty-seven years. Resampling the fifteen entries puts ninety per cent of its weight between a hundred and fifty and five hundred and ninety-one. The interval is wider than the number, the middle gap's interval is a fifth as wide, and the difference is the same two documents the leave-one-out found.
A question the record is too small to answer
Five of the fifteen claims rest on one surviving source and five on two, and those two counts are exactly what an estimate of the claims that left no source at all is made of. Applied, it says two and a half are missing. Its ninety-five per cent interval runs from fifteen to thirty-one, re-reading a single entry's source count moves it by a fifth, and its independence assumption is false in the one way documents actually fail — which is what makes computing it worth more than declining to.
Some discoveries would make it worse
The field's headline statistic averages the claims dated ahead of their evidence. So a document found for a claim that was nearly right removes a small number from a mean of large ones and the average overrun goes up: finding a source two centuries earlier for the kindergarten entry would take the figure from 357 to 408. The four claims where a discovery helps can take twenty-five years off each, and no single document at any date can bring the number to 250.
Named alongside it
The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.
Documentary recordAttestationExpected-valueIdentifiabilityIndependent discoveryHiden senbazuru orikataSenbazuruAssignmentBoundaryBoundary vertexConstraintCrease pattern